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Red18
29144.7
345511.6
11233.4
Blue6
17088.9
61410.0
11611.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1917010304050186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3455
#21
11.60.0
10.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
116
#17
11.70.5
5.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2914
#39
4.70.0
4.24.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
614
#25
10.00.9
2.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1123
#24
3.40.0
3.93.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
1708
#22
8.90.5
8.68.1
Auto
Teleop
End