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Qual 592011 Washington DC Regional
Red18
19027.2
29126.2
24213.6
Blue9
57811.4
28194.0
18490.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40150206080100189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#20
27.20.9
24.2→23.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.8
578
#19
11.40.5
10.9→10.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2912
#45
6.20.9
9.6→8.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.2
2819
#55
4.00.8
5.0→4.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2421
#37
3.61.5
2.7→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.1
1849
#61
0.60.8
3.0→2.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—