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Red0
11233.4
4332.9
29620.5
Blue12
32460.0
108921.2
108616.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949020406080100120012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1123
#24
3.41.2
2.71.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.9
1089
#11
21.22.0
21.619.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
433
#62
2.91.2
9.58.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.2
1086
#47
16.02.6
16.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2962
#63
0.51.2
2.71.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3246
#43
0.02.6
4.21.6
Auto
Teleop
End