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Red0
29116.8
29646.3
32794.7
Blue3
25374.6
21216.6
11233.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161501020304003

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2911
#35
6.81.2
5.64.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2121
#41
6.60.9
8.27.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2964
#36
6.31.3
6.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2537
#46
4.60.6
4.33.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3279
#44
4.71.2
4.63.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1123
#24
3.40.9
2.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End