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Red0
14460.1
35942.1
21216.6
Blue11
108921.2
57811.4
18727.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25420406080100120011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2121
#41
6.60.7
7.36.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.6
1089
#11
21.21.8
22.720.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3594
#60
2.10.8
2.31.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
578
#19
11.41.8
13.912.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1446
#54
0.10.5
0.80.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
1872
#31
7.62.4
10.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End