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Red50
205210.0
24188.6
181611.4
Blue4
25383.8
25008.2
217714.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28281020304050504

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.40.5
10.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
2177
#16
14.40.5
14.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
10.00.4
9.49.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
8.20.5
8.78.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2418
#32
8.60.5
7.98.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
2538
#20
3.80.6
4.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End