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Red54
181611.4
38404.3
87630.6
Blue0
38393.8
37542.8
38284.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327020406080100540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#3
30.62.2
15.317.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.6
3828
#33
4.00.9
3.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11.42.2
6.78.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
3839
#15
3.80.9
2.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3840
#17
4.32.2
6.28.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3754
#22
2.80.9
5.04.1
Auto
Teleop
End