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Red64
28453.5
22272.0
251231.1
Blue9
2220-1.2
24188.6
25034.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18160406080100649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.13.9
14.918.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.5
2418
#32
8.60.6
5.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2845
#24
3.53.9
1.55.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2503
#18
4.30.6
8.47.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2227
#23
2.03.9
1.35.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
2220
#40
-1.20.6
2.51.9
Auto
Teleop
End