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Red38
253017.9
32618.1
38284.0
Blue34
32978.6
24188.6
217714.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1719010304050603834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.91.7
8.910.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2177
#16
14.41.3
10.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3261
#30
8.11.7
5.67.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2418
#32
8.61.3
5.06.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3828
#33
4.01.7
2.84.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
3297
#13
8.61.3
3.54.8
Auto
Teleop
End