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Red3
32978.6
28453.5
38404.3
Blue15
24990.1
32618.1
32947.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181203040506070315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3297
#13
8.61.2
7.26.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3261
#30
8.10.2
6.46.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3840
#17
4.31.1
5.94.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
7.30.2
4.14.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2845
#24
3.51.2
4.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
2499
#25
0.10.2
2.62.7
Auto
Teleop
End