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Red30
25383.8
251814.8
87719.7
Blue12
181611.4
257410.4
38284.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412602060801003012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
877
#4
19.70.5
19.018.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
11.41.2
11.710.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2518
#11
14.80.5
14.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
2574
#12
10.41.0
11.310.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2538
#20
3.80.7
5.44.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3828
#33
4.01.3
5.34.0
Auto
Teleop
End