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Red90
102331.8
31152.9
20128.3
Blue3
17018.1
5034.6
5153.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73620406080100120140903

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.5
31.732.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.7
8.10.2
8.38.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
201
#7
28.30.5
28.228.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.8
503
#16
4.60.2
4.84.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3115
#32
2.90.5
2.83.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
515
#28
3.20.2
3.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End