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Red102
102331.8
15025.0
46931.2
Blue27
30813.6
17018.1
354711.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46250608010012010227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.85.0
9.914.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.2
308
#12
13.60.1
10.610.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
469
#5
31.25.0
26.131.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.6
11.60.0
9.39.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1502
#15
5.05.0
6.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
8.10.0
7.87.8
Auto
Teleop
End