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Qual 32011 Florida Regional
Red18
34107.5
15433.7
10321.5
Blue15
159226.7
27572.3
35804.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28250204060801001815

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#4
21.50.8
15.8→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.2
1592
#7
26.70.9
14.9→14.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3410
#24
7.50.8
7.4→6.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.0
3580
#20
4.52.2
4.5→2.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1543
#15
3.70.8
4.4→3.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.4
2757
#56
2.30.9
7.5→6.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—