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Red10
106513.2
19027.9
314917.6
Blue5
215.5
23834.0
35566.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346020406080105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.61.7
10.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
3556
#47
6.60.5
3.73.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
13.21.7
9.98.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
21
#22
5.50.5
4.23.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1902
#43
7.91.7
10.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2383
#53
4.00.5
2.52.0
Auto
Teleop
End