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Qual 432011 Florida Regional
Red32
18020.8
7910.7
24252.2
Blue3
31641.7
3549-3.2
27572.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326020406080323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#13
20.80.3
15.3→15.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.5
2757
#56
2.30.6
5.2→4.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
79
#21
10.70.3
9.7→10.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.0
3164
#34
1.70.6
2.8→2.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2425
#42
2.20.3
3.3→3.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
3549
#46
-3.20.6
1.8→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—