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Red0
36595.3
37901.1
29163.4
Blue6
19027.9
36272.8
15433.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11130203040506006

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3659
#38
5.30.9
4.63.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1902
#43
7.90.6
5.85.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2916
#23
3.40.9
2.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1543
#15
3.70.6
3.02.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3790
#55
1.10.9
4.43.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3627
#36
2.80.5
4.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End