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Red5
15576.5
35920.8
215.5
Blue7
3557-0.6
36272.8
7910.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12150203040506057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1557
#28
6.50.6
4.23.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
79
#21
10.70.6
10.910.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21
#22
5.50.6
5.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3627
#36
2.80.6
3.52.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3592
#50
0.80.6
2.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
3557
#45
-0.60.6
0.6-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End