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Red44
16129.2
17935.7
1086.9
Blue3
16045.6
27572.3
29163.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49320406080100120443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#1
35.70.1
31.331.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.1
1604
#30
5.60.5
6.15.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1612
#16
9.20.1
9.19.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
2916
#23
3.40.5
1.20.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
108
#17
6.90.1
2.22.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
2757
#56
2.30.5
2.72.3
Auto
Teleop
End