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Red0
31396.6
33185.6
32279.4
Blue18
11271.1
314919.9
24207.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1630010204050607080018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3227
#41
9.41.5
6.24.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
19.90.6
18.718.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3139
#34
6.61.5
5.84.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
7.20.8
6.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3318
#17
5.61.5
6.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
1127
#16
1.10.8
2.92.0
Auto
Teleop
End