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Red4
31396.6
38152.3
35784.1
Blue5
14147.9
33448.4
29676.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13134681012141645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3139
#34
6.60.7
6.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3344
#12
8.40.7
3.83.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3578
#24
4.11.7
4.12.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1414
#31
7.90.7
5.04.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3815
#36
2.30.1
2.32.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
6.90.7
4.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End