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Red7
5901.5
17883.8
36941.4
Blue3
13793.8
30914.4
11271.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914020304073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1788
#20
3.80.2
1.81.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
3091
#19
4.40.9
2.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
590
#14
1.50.2
3.73.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1379
#42
3.80.9
7.56.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3694
#35
1.40.2
4.34.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1127
#16
1.10.9
3.42.5
Auto
Teleop
End