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Qual 362011 Peachtree Regional
Red10
38152.3
35739.3
177129.0
Blue14
168311.2
31396.6
16486.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26110203040506070801014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1771
#3
29.01.2
18.8→17.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.8
1683
#6
11.20.1
4.0→4.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3573
#29
9.31.2
3.6→2.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.7
3139
#34
6.60.1
4.6→4.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3815
#36
2.31.2
1.6→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.3
1648
#23
6.60.1
4.7→4.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—