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Red1
17952.0
18482.0
16486.6
Blue3
24207.2
33185.6
29745.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1012020304013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#23
6.60.8
4.73.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
7.20.7
3.42.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1795
#11
2.00.8
1.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3318
#17
5.60.7
4.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1848
#44
2.00.8
4.63.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
2974
#10
5.50.7
4.33.6
Auto
Teleop
End