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Qual 542011 Peachtree Regional
Red0
32656.5
36941.4
281510.4
Blue6
35810.4
17952.0
29676.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207010304050607006

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#38
10.41.5
7.6→6.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.5
2967
#7
6.90.2
6.2→6.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3265
#5
6.51.5
6.7→5.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.5
1795
#11
2.00.2
0.4→0.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3694
#35
1.41.5
3.4→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
3581
#45
0.40.2
2.1→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—