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Red50
126119.8
17952.0
33293.0
Blue1
3600-0.1
31396.6
17883.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18100304050501

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.82.4
15.017.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
3139
#34
6.60.7
8.17.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3329
#18
3.02.8
1.84.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1788
#20
3.80.8
2.31.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1795
#11
2.02.6
0.12.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3600
#46
-0.10.8
1.00.2
Auto
Teleop
End