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Red25
15574.4
105633.2
108625.4
Blue102
46946.2
207313.3
339322.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668505010015020025102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1056
#14
33.22.2
35.032.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
469
#4
46.21.0
48.049.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1086
#42
25.42.2
27.625.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
3393
#52
22.81.0
21.822.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1557
#51
4.42.2
6.64.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
2073
#50
13.31.0
12.413.3
Auto
Teleop
End