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Red107
164612.0
34133.8
54838.3
Blue126
177135.0
111458.2
339322.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76124050100150200250107126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#69
38.31.2
32.934.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.0
1114
#10
58.20.5
68.168.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
341
#30
33.81.2
38.239.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
35.00.5
27.427.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1646
#72
12.01.2
12.713.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
3393
#52
22.80.5
21.321.8
Auto
Teleop
End