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Red114
29424.8
233747.5
171431.1
Blue74
15225.4
126614.5
34133.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11044010015020011474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.50.7
44.244.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
341
#30
33.81.0
39.340.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1714
#18
31.10.7
25.926.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.5
1266
#37
14.51.0
9.810.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
294
#38
24.80.7
29.430.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
1522
#87
5.41.0
4.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End