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Red121
25450.6
188529.3
186823.1
Blue107
54838.3
171431.1
6332.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11392050150200121107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
50.60.6
56.757.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
548
#69
38.30.6
36.437.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1885
#27
29.30.6
26.627.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
63
#55
32.20.6
29.530.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1868
#39
23.10.6
26.427.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
1714
#18
31.10.6
29.129.7
Auto
Teleop
End