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Red101
35264.7
61035.9
69434.7
Blue124
260712.8
54838.3
29231.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6881050100150200101124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#23
35.91.6
38.540.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
548
#69
38.32.2
37.039.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
694
#5
34.71.6
31.232.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
292
#34
31.22.2
30.232.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3526
#85
4.71.6
0.41.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
2607
#64
12.82.2
12.014.2
Auto
Teleop
End