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Red2
3415-0.2
34210.5
233720.1
Blue14
15061.7
283412.1
4709.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15210406080100214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#11
20.11.1
12.311.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
2834
#17
12.10.5
12.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3421
#27
0.51.1
3.72.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
470
#19
9.90.5
5.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3415
#36
-0.21.1
-0.4-1.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1506
#26
1.70.5
2.01.5
Auto
Teleop
End