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Red15
5121.8
3220.3
3770-5.7
Blue7
332213.9
36014.5
15061.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14180406080157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#9
21.80.1
16.416.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
3322
#15
13.90.8
13.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
322
#30
0.30.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
3601
#31
4.50.8
2.31.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3770
#33
-5.70.1
-2.6-2.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
1506
#26
1.70.7
1.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End