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Red42
34501.9
35352.4
233720.1
Blue3
3141.8
332213.9
89412.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173706080100423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#11
20.11.2
18.319.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
3322
#15
13.91.9
15.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3535
#23
2.41.2
0.71.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
894
#5
12.81.9
14.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3450
#32
1.91.4
0.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
314
#28
1.81.9
3.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End