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Red80
46943.2
21754.7
20131.2
Blue90
7441.7
309834.8
54832.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391050501502008090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#1
54.70.9
56.355.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
74
#11
41.70.3
42.241.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
469
#8
43.20.9
44.843.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
3098
#12
34.80.3
35.335.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
201
#28
31.20.9
32.831.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
548
#27
32.40.3
32.932.5
Auto
Teleop
End