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Red134
205451.9
213739.7
91025.5
Blue77
191837.1
49435.1
353940.8
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119114608010014016018013477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#15
51.90.3
52.452.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
3539
#25
40.80.6
41.440.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
39.70.3
40.240.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
37.10.6
37.737.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
910
#17
25.50.3
26.026.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
494
#6
35.10.6
35.835.1
Auto
Teleop
End