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Red92
261922.2
200026.3
24534.2
Blue105
91025.5
124323.4
3343.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829205015020092105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#14
34.20.4
34.334.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
33
#2
43.40.7
45.746.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2000
#42
26.30.4
27.127.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
910
#17
25.50.7
26.026.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2619
#36
22.20.4
22.623.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1243
#41
23.40.7
19.019.7
Auto
Teleop
End