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Red103
323425.1
233743.7
191837.1
Blue101
24534.2
54832.4
362015.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11378050100150200103101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.2
44.143.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
245
#14
34.20.9
34.735.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.10.2
38.338.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
548
#27
32.40.9
33.934.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3234
#32
25.10.2
25.325.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
3620
#61
15.60.9
14.815.6
Auto
Teleop
End