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Red60
83016.5
32621.9
30824.8
Blue36
354218.9
283421.9
247420.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63670501001502002506036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#38
24.80.2
25.024.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
2834
#39
21.91.5
23.521.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
326
#30
21.90.2
22.222.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2474
#47
20.91.5
22.420.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
830
#53
16.50.2
16.716.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
3542
#59
18.91.5
20.418.9
Auto
Teleop
End