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Red97
150413.0
205451.9
91025.5
Blue118
32621.9
125033.2
171835.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846920406010012014097118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#15
51.90.8
47.848.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.2
1718
#19
35.82.3
32.635.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
910
#17
25.50.8
22.523.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
1250
#26
33.22.3
22.624.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1504
#49
13.00.8
11.512.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
326
#30
21.92.3
16.018.4
Auto
Teleop
End