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Red52
368811.6
30824.8
354218.9
Blue102
205451.9
8518.1
258612.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45800206010012014052102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#38
24.80.1
22.322.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.2
2054
#15
51.91.4
49.651.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3542
#59
18.90.1
16.816.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
85
#55
18.11.4
15.216.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3688
#62
11.60.1
11.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2586
#54
12.81.4
9.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End