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Red79
354218.9
261225.4
124323.4
Blue120
6743.9
7028.9
152824.7
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53105015079120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2612
#16
25.40.9
23.924.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
67
#9
43.91.1
46.147.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1243
#41
23.40.9
19.119.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
70
#13
28.91.1
26.928.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3542
#59
18.90.9
18.719.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
1528
#34
24.71.1
24.125.3
Auto
Teleop
End