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Red30
276714.0
36887.4
35377.6
Blue2
22453.3
83013.5
36172.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21320406080100302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.02.2
5.07.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
830
#18
13.50.8
8.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3537
#28
7.62.2
-0.31.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
2245
#31
3.30.8
0.3-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3688
#11
7.42.2
-1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
3617
#29
2.20.8
2.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End