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Red27
83013.5
8151.7
37724.1
Blue4
1419.7
1235.9
9041.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1520010304050607080274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#18
13.50.8
11.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
141
#26
9.71.0
9.98.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3772
#20
4.10.6
3.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
123
#33
5.91.0
6.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
815
#25
1.70.8
1.01.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
904
#32
1.30.8
2.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End