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Red0
35939.1
38805.7
36832.9
Blue80
105629.6
243925.7
38826.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86550204080100120140080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
39.11.4
40.238.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
29.60.4
29.129.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
368
#3
32.91.7
34.332.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
25.70.3
25.325.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3880
#16
5.71.7
7.15.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3882
#33
6.20.4
5.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End