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Red48
38374.9
243810.0
209017.4
Blue3
31322.9
28533.6
24676.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3110020406080483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.40.3
16.216.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
6.20.2
6.46.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2438
#20
10.00.4
8.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
3.60.2
3.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3837
#18
4.90.5
3.23.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
3132
#22
2.90.2
3.12.9
Auto
Teleop
End