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Red2
24676.2
28533.6
36850.5
Blue0
24435.3
243810.0
33065.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1622040608020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6.21.3
9.58.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
2438
#20
10.01.8
9.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3.61.3
4.33.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
3306
#14
5.51.8
7.65.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3685
#10
0.51.3
3.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
2443
#19
5.31.8
4.32.5
Auto
Teleop
End