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Red4
24376.4
30080.7
38780.3
Blue2
24774.6
38374.9
24594.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11110515202542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2437
#13
6.40.4
4.44.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3837
#18
4.92.5
4.92.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3008
#23
0.70.6
3.12.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
2477
#25
4.60.6
2.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3878
#32
0.32.3
0.32.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
2459
#28
4.00.7
4.84.1
Auto
Teleop
End