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Red3
13785.8
38826.2
38374.9
Blue15
23486.6
36850.5
38805.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161601020304050315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#33
6.21.0
4.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2348
#12
6.60.1
8.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1378
#30
5.81.1
4.93.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3880
#16
5.70.1
6.26.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3837
#18
4.91.1
6.65.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
3685
#10
0.50.1
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End