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Qual 432011 Hawaii Regional sponsored by BAE Systems
Red56
24412.4
243925.7
33065.5
Blue48
209017.4
31322.9
24653.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28130204060805648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2439
#2
25.71.5
19.6→21.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.4
2090
#4
17.41.7
12.2→13.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3306
#14
5.52.5
4.6→7.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.2
2465
#29
3.32.8
1.0→3.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2441
#24
2.42.4
1.5→3.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.5
3132
#22
2.92.8
1.8→4.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—